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6. Shortlisting relevant design alternatives

This chapter marks a transition from a broad examination of potential capacity mechanism designs to a more focused analysis of the most promising alternatives for the Nordic market. Building on the comprehensive longlist presented previously, the design options are systematically narrowed to identify those most relevant for the region. The resulting shortlist forms the basis for the in-depth assessment and comparative analysis conducted in the subsequent chapters.

6.1 Summary

This selection includes the most promising market-wide and targeted designs, reflecting a comprehensive approach to addressing various challenges in the region. In shortlisting these designs, particular attention has been given to how the individual design could potentially be implemented in the Nordic market. The inclusion of both CRM and NFFSS alternatives ensures covering a broad spectrum of designs, providing insights into their effectiveness under different design objectives.
By incorporating both centralised and decentralised schemes, along with variants featuring fixed and dynamic eligibility criteria, the analysis captures a diverse set of potential design outcomes. This diversity supports a thorough evaluation of the approaches most suited to the region’s specific needs. Moreover, evolved versions of established mechanisms, such as the strategic reserve and FRR CM, have been included to assess how these may be adapted to support an adequacy need. The resulting shortlist, presented in Exhibit 6.1, therefore offers a balanced view of innovative and refined solutions.

Exhibit 6.1 – Overview of shortlisted designs
Market-wide
CRM
Centralised availability obligation 
Require capacity providers to commit to making their resources available when needed, with obligations set and enforced by a central authority, such as a TSO. All providers meeting the eligibility criteria receives capacity payments in exchange for providing system reliability.
Centralised reliability option
Providers receive payments in exchange for committing to make their capacity available when needed, with obligations set and enforced by a central authority, such as a TSO. If market prices exceed a predefined strike price, the capacity provider must compensate the system operator for the difference, ensuring both availability and cost control. The strike price ensures that the provider is incentivised to offer its capacity when needed.
Decentralised reliability option
Providers receive payments in exchange for committing to make their capacity available when needed, with obligations set and enforced by either retailors and PIUs. If market prices exceed a predefined strike price, the capacity provider must compensate the option holder for the difference, ensuring both availability and cost control. The strike price ensures that the provider is incentivised to offer its capacity when needed.
Targeted
CRM
Strategic reserve 2.0
A modified version of the current strategic reserves in the Nordic market, which is centrally coordinated targeted at the extension of existing generation and to spur DSR. This includes CHPs who can switch from for example heat pumps or electric boilers to other fuels to produce heat. Awarded capacity is ring-fenced from the wholesale market, but ready to deliver when called upon by the TSO.
NFFSS
Centralised availability obligation
Require capacity providers to commit to making their resources available when needed, with obligations set and enforced by a central authority, such as a TSO. The mechanisms is targeted towards new assets. Contracted providers receives capacity payments in exchange for providing system reliability.
FRR availability obligation 
Require capacity providers to commit to making their resources available in the FRR EAM when needed, with obligations set and enforced by a central authority, such as a TSO. This is similar to the existing FRR CM, however, assets are provided years in advance to allow for new-build and contract periods are longer. Providers must at minimum reach the FRR eligibility criteria.
Dispatchable flexible reserve
Operate in a manner similar to strategic reserves by providing dedicated and restricted capacity, but with enhanced flexibility. The awarded capacity is excluded from competitive market participation and is activated exclusively during periods of critically high prices, preferably within SIDC, or alternatively within SDAC. 
Source: AFRY.

6.2 Shortlisting of relevant mechanisms

This section refines the longlist of design alternatives presented in Chapter 5 into a focused shortlist. The shortlisting process is informed by the regulatory context, country-specific challenges and characteristics, as well as other key considerations outlined earlier in the report. Each design has been assessed at a high level to identify those options that best align with the region’s strategic objectives and specific requirements. At the same time, the shortlist reflects a diverse set of pathways, ensuring a broad representation of potential approaches. The design alternatives presented in the following table will form the basis for the more detailed evaluation and comparison undertaken in the chapters that follow.
Design alternative
Reasoning
Shortlisted
CRM
Targeted tender
Targeted, direct investment support for a specific technology, could effectively solve an identified need given perfect information. The mechanism would not allow for competition between technologies and not allow aggregators to provide their pooled capacity. It would also severely distort the market as the procured capacity could freely operate in the market, which is not aligned with the current Nordic energy-only market. This design is therefore not brought forward to the shortlist.
X
Strategic reserve 2.0
The general concept of a strategic reserve is well-known in the Nordic region and is a solution considered by some TSOs also for the future. However, this version of the strategic reserve is designed to address the limitations of traditional strategic reserve schemes, namely:
-       a lack of eligible MW for reservation
-       inflexibility due to long ramp-up times; and
-       complex TSO last resort dispatching rules.
This could potentially be a cost-efficient solution to keep existing capacity and attract new sources of flexibility in the market.
Targeted capacity payment
The mechanism is price-based, meaning that all eligible capacity providers receive a predetermined payment. Unlike auction-based mechanisms, which determine capacity prices through competitive bidding, this mechanism provides a fixed payment to all qualifying capacity resources. Since it is not a competitive procurement process, this is not in line with current EU law.
X
Market-wide capacity payment
The mechanism is price-based, meaning that all eligible capacity providers receive a predetermined payment. Unlike auction-based mechanisms, which determine capacity prices through competitive bidding, this mechanism provides a fixed payment to all qualifying capacity resources. Since the mechanism does not include a competitive procurement process, it is not in line with current EU law.
X
Centralised availability obligation
Relatively simple, market-oriented structure which seemingly can be easily adapted to the Nordic model. The design may also serve as a good benchmark for other designs.
Decentralised availability obligation
Given that this design proved ineffective in the large French market, it is considered unlikely to be suitable for the smaller Nordic markets. Instead, the Decentralised Reliability Option is examined in order to ensure that at least one decentralised design is included in the shortlist.
X
Centralised reliability option
Well established, market-oriented structure. Centralised reliability options should lead to similar outcomes as an availability obligation; however, the option setup ensures revenues to the TSO which can use these revenues to lower grid fees.
Decentralised reliability option
To include one decentralised design, the decentralised reliability option design is included. This is an innovative and un-tested design that allows each market participant to buy “insurance” (in the form of options) against high prices. The options should work as a price celling where each market participant can choose how high price peaks are tolerable, and at the same contributing to secure sufficient capacity for the system as a whole.
NFFSS
Targeted flexibility tender
Targeted, direct investment support for a new assets compliant with the NFFSS regulation, could help to promote certain types of technologies and solve identified needs. The mechanism would not allow for competition between technologies and not allow aggregators to provide their pooled capacity. It would also severely distort the market as the procured capacity could freely operate in the market, which is not aligned with the current Nordic energy-only market. This design is therefore not brought forward to the shortlist.
X
Centralised availability obligation – NFFSS
Relatively simple, market-oriented structure which seemingly can be easily adapted to the Nordic model. The design allows for targeting new assets, that are obliged to participate in the market, efficiently supporting system adequacy.
Centralised reliability option – NFFSS
While considered effective as a market-wide scheme, but challenging to implement an option structure that entails only new, NFFSS compliant assets. An availability obligation structure is in this case considered more suitable.
X
Decentralised reliability option – NFFSS
While considered effective as a market-wide scheme, but challenging to implement an option structure that entails only new, NFFSS compliant assets – especially in a decentralised procurement structure due to the complexity. An availability obligation structure is in this case considered more suitable.
X
Dispatchable flexible reserve
The other NFFSS designs would be allowed to operate in wholesale markets, while the dispatchable flexible reserve would be ring-fenced from the market in a similar fashion as the strategic reserve 2.0 CRM. However, this design will aim at new, NFFSS compliant assets instead of keeping existing (potentially thermal) assets in the market. The scheme would be easy to implement and operate relative to other designs.
FRR availability obligation
Changes in the electricity market may give rise to specific need for ancillary services. In such cases, a scheme aimed at a specific service may to a lesser extent distort the overall wholesale market, at least directly, than other mechanisms. The scheme would be easy to implement and operate relative to other designs, as it utilises existing markets.
MACSE
MACSE is a relatively complex scheme aimed at BESS, in which market participants—typically generators of intermittent electricity—purchase time-shifting products in a newly established market operated by the TSO. While the scheme is likely to incentivise increased BESS participation, its complexity may limit broader applicability. Moreover, the scheme is not considered fit for purpose in the Nordic context, where flexibility is generally not a regular concern due to the significant share of hydropower in the system under normal conditions. Alternative mechanisms may achieve similar outcomes while enabling competition across different technologies. Consequently, MACSE and schemes with comparable structures are not deemed suitable for the Nordic region.
X

6.3 Deep dive into shortlisted solutions

This sub-chapter provide further insights into the CRMs and NFFSS shortlisted in the previous section. Using the building blocks established in Chapter 4.2. present a structured and comparative overview of each design. The content will serve as a basis for the assessment and recommendation in the final chapters of this report. It should also be noted that the overarching design concepts and building blocks are discussed in more detail in Chapter 4.

6.3.1 CRMs

Strategic reserve 2.0

A modified version of the current strategic reserves in the Nordic market, which is centrally coordinated targeted at the extension of existing generation and to spur DSR. This includes CHPs who can switch from for example heat pumps or electric boilers to other fuels to produce heat. Awarded capacity is ring-fenced from the wholesale market, but ready to deliver when called upon by the TSO.
As a last-resort instrument, activated only under extreme system stress and after all market-based solutions have been exhausted, it serves a broader system integrity function rather than addressing regular peak demand. Considering this, the recovery scheme should be non-targeted, where associated costs are best treated as a collective insurance premium and should be socialised across all network users.
Building block
Design choice
Description
Market-wide vs targeted
Targeted
Targeted capacity mechanisms focus on specific types of capacity or particular segments of the market. These mechanisms are designed to address specific needs or gaps in the electricity supply, such as incentivising the development of renewable energy sources or ensuring the availability of peaking power plants. By concentrating on particular resources, targeted mechanisms can provide tailored solutions to specific challenges within the electricity market.
Determining and securing volume
Fully centralised
In a fully centralised market, a central authority, such as the transmission system operator (TSO), is responsible for organising the procurement process. The central authority is contracting with providers to ensure system reliability.
Product obligation
Ring-fenced
Providers receive payment only for availability but must ensure firm availability with a high expectation of reliability throughout the contract period. Capacity is ring-fenced from the market and awaits dispatch instructions from the TSO. Units do not earn revenues from participating in the wholesale energy market, but activations are compensated by a cost-based payment. Activation happens in the balancing market, and if activated, balancing price is set to VoLL or the price cap in the intraday market, whichever is highest, in line with Article 22(2)(b) of the Electricity Regulation (EU 2019/943). Warming contract, to have the unit ready on short notice, is possible if required.
Eligibility & performance standards
Fixed eligibility
Fixed eligibility means that there are absolute minimum requirements that must be met to participate in the capacity mechanism. This is a known concept from for example the ancillary service markets where technical minimum standards must be met to participate. The criteria could also be set to aim the mechanism at for example only new, non-fossil assets in a given bidding zone or location.
Recovery scheme
TSO
Costs are socialised and borne by the TSO, who recovers them through regulated grid tariffs or via other means. The scheme should be non-targeted (kWh-based surcharge).

Centralised availability obligation – CRM

Centralised availability obligations require capacity providers to commit to making their resources available when needed, with obligations set and enforced by a central authority, such as a TSO. All providers meeting the eligibility criteria receives capacity payments in exchange for providing system reliability.
Market-wide CRMs should use targeted cost recovery because they address adequacy needs driven by peak demand. Charging those contributing most to peak load ensures fair cost allocation and strengthens price signals to reduce consumption and encourage flexibility.
Building block
Design choice
Description
Market-wide vs targeted
Market-wide
Market-wide capacity mechanisms are designed to ensure that all capacity required to maintain system reliability receives payment. This approach includes both existing and new capacity providers. It aims to provide a comprehensive solution to resource adequacy and to promote competition among a wide range of providers.
Determining and securing volume
Fully centralised
In a fully centralised market, a central authority, such as the transmission system operator (TSO), is responsible for organising the procurement process. The central authority is contracting with providers to ensure system reliability.
Product obligation
Availability obligation
Providers receive capacity payment solely for availability in the SDAC, with no additional compensation for activation, as they earn revenues from participating in the wholesale energy market. They are required to ensure the awarded capacity is available when called upon but are otherwise free to operate in the market.
Eligibility
Dynamic eligibility
Dynamic eligibility entails that the assets must meet a lower minimum requirement, but the quality of the service impacts the selection process (i.e. which providers are successful in the procurement process). The minimum requirement could for example be new, non-fossil assets. In the next stage, based on the needs assessment, one defines performance standards and associated derating factors.
Recovery scheme
TSO
Costs are initially borne by the TSO and subsequently recovered through regulated grid tariffs or alternative mechanisms. To ensure cost-reflectivity and support behavioural change, cost recovery is linked to peak consumption, by applying a kilowatt-based surcharge during predefined peak periods.

Centralised reliability option – CRM

In centralised reliability options, providers receive payments in exchange for committing to make their capacity available when needed, with obligations set and enforced by a central authority, such as a TSO. If market prices exceed a predefined strike price, the capacity provider must compensate the system operator for the difference, ensuring both availability and cost control. The strike price ensures that the provider is incentivised to offer its capacity when needed.
Building block
Design choice
Description
Market-wide vs targeted
Market-wide
Market-wide capacity mechanisms are designed to ensure that all capacity required to maintain system reliability receives payment. This approach includes both existing and new capacity providers. It aims to provide a comprehensive solution to resource adequacy and to promote competition among a wide range of providers.
Determining and securing volume
Fully centralised
In a fully centralised market, a central authority, such as the transmission system operator (TSO), is responsible for organising the procurement process. The central authority is contracting with providers to ensure system reliability.
Product obligation
Availability obligation
Providers receive capacity payment solely for availability in the SDAC, with no additional compensation for activation, as they earn revenues from participating in the wholesale energy market. They are required to ensure the awarded capacity is available when called upon but are otherwise free to operate in the market.
Eligibility
Dynamic eligibility
Dynamic eligibility entails that the assets must meet a lower minimum requirement, but the quality of the service impacts the selection process (i.e. which providers are successful in the procurement process). The minimum requirement could for example be new, non-fossil assets. In the next stage, based on the needs assessment, one defines performance standards and associated derating factors.
Recovery scheme
TSO
Costs are initially borne by the TSO and subsequently recovered through regulated grid tariffs or alternative mechanisms. To ensure cost-reflectivity and support behavioural change, cost recovery is linked to peak consumption, by applying a kilowatt-based surcharge during predefined peak periods.

Decentralised reliability option – CRM

In decentralised reliability options, providers receive payments in exchange for committing to make their capacity available when needed, with obligations set and enforced by either retailors and PIUs. If market prices exceed a predefined strike price, the capacity provider must compensate the option holder for the difference, ensuring both availability and cost control. The strike price ensures that the provider is incentivised to offer its capacity when needed.
Building block
Design choice
Description
Market-wide vs targeted
Market-wide
Market-wide capacity mechanisms are designed to ensure that all capacity required to maintain system reliability receives payment. This approach includes both existing and new capacity providers. It aims to provide a comprehensive solution to resource adequacy and to promote competition among a wide range of providers.
Determining and securing volume
Fully decentralised
Fully decentralised markets place the responsibility on individual market participants, such as retailers and generators or flexibility providers. These entities negotiate contracts directly based on their own assessments of future needs. Decentralised models offer greater flexibility, allowing participants to leverage their in-house knowledge, which can foster innovation and more tailored solutions. In a decentralised market, market participants are typically incentivised to secure volumes as they otherwise risk the exposure to price spike in the relevant market.
Product obligation
Energy reliability option
Providers receive payment for availability only, in form of issuing an option, and can offer the awarded capacity in the market. However, they must pay a ‘difference’ charge if the SDAC market price exceeds a predefined strike price.
Eligibility & performance standards
Dynamic eligibility
Dynamic eligibility entails that the assets must meet a lower minimum requirement, but the quality of the service impacts the selection process (i.e. which providers are successful in the procurement process). The minimum requirement could for example be new, non-fossil assets. In the next stage, based on the needs assessment, one defines performance standards and associated derating factors.
Recovery scheme
Retailers and PIUs
In a decentralised capacity mechanism, the responsibility of procurement and cost falls on the users of electricity. One could also require that the retailors charge a fixed fee to the end-user, similar to the Norwegian-Swedish electricity certificates system, to finance the capacity mechanism.

6.3.2 NFFSS

Centralised availability obligation – NFFSS

Centralised availability obligations, targeted towards non-fossil flexibility assets, require providers to commit to being available in the market when needed, with obligations set and enforced by a central authority, such as a TSO. These mechanisms target new investments, offering capacity payments in return for ensuring system reliability. Cost recovery should be targeted, as these schemes address adequacy risks driven by peak demand and limited flexibility, primarily caused by specific consumption patterns. Levies on peak consumption ensure that those contributing most to the need for capacity bear a fair share of the cost. This also strengthens price signals, encourages demand-side response, and promotes more efficient consumption, thereby reducing overall capacity needs.
Building block
Design choice
Description
Market-wide vs targeted
Targeted
Targeted mechanisms focus on specific types of capacity or particular segments of the market. These mechanisms are designed to address specific needs or gaps in the electricity supply, such as incentivising the development of renewable energy sources or ensuring the availability of peaking power plants. By concentrating on particular resources, targeted mechanisms can provide tailored solutions to specific challenges within the electricity market.
Determining and securing volume
Fully centralised
In a fully centralised market, a central authority, such as the transmission system operator (TSO), is responsible for organising the procurement process. The central authority is contracting with providers to ensure system reliability.
Product obligation
Availability obligation
Providers receive capacity payment solely for availability in the SDAC, with no additional compensation for activation, as they earn revenues from participating in the wholesale energy market. They are required to ensure the awarded capacity is available when called upon but are otherwise free to operate in the market.
Eligibility & performance standards
Dynamic eligibility
Dynamic eligibility entails that the assets must meet a lower minimum requirement, but the quality of the service impacts the selection process (i.e. which providers are successful in the procurement process). The minimum requirement could for example be new, non-fossil assets. In the next stage, based on the needs assessment, one defines performance standards and associated derating factors.
Recovery scheme
TSO
Costs are initially borne by the TSO and subsequently recovered through regulated grid tariffs or alternative mechanisms. To ensure cost-reflectivity and support behavioural change, cost recovery is linked to peak consumption, by applying a kilowatt-based surcharge during predefined peak periods.

Dispatchable flexible reserves

Dispatchable flexible reserve represents a new yet recognisable concept, functioning similarly to a strategic reserve by providing dedicated, restricted capacity, but with enhanced flexibility. Awarded capacity is restricted from competitively participating in the market and are instead activated exclusively during critically high-price periods within the Single Intraday Coupling (SIDC), the preferred variant, or alternatively within the Single Day-Ahead Coupling (SDAC), contingent upon acceptable merit order distortion levels – to be determined by decision makers. Delaying activation until closer to delivery through SIDC provides the market with opportunities to respond to price signals and resolve capacity issues independently, thereby minimising market distortion.
The mechanism is closely aligned with the NFFSS regulation, aiming to incentivise investment in new non-fossil flexible assets. Unlike traditional strategic reserves, often used to extend the life of ageing plants, dispatchable flexible reserves will typically involve higher per-MW costs due to the need for new or refurbished capacity. However, they offer greater flexibility in eligible technologies and are activated directly within market platforms, avoiding the need for complex TSO-led dispatch and enabling more dynamic multi-day and intraday system support.
Given its objective of addressing peak demand and flexibility gaps, cost recovery should also be targeted. Charging those whose consumption patterns drive these needs ensures fair allocation and reinforces market signals.
Building block
Design choice
Description
Market-wide vs targeted
Targeted
Targeted mechanisms focus on specific types of capacity or particular segments of the market. These mechanisms are designed to address specific needs or gaps in the electricity supply, such as incentivising the development of RES or ensuring the availability of peaking power plants. By concentrating on particular resources, targeted mechanisms can provide tailored solutions to specific challenges within the electricity market.
Determining and securing volume
Fully centralised
In a fully centralised market, a central authority, such as the transmission system operator (TSO), is responsible for organising the procurement process. The central authority is contracting with providers to ensure system reliability.
Product obligation
Ring-fenced (partly)
Providers receive payment only for availability but must ensure firm availability with a high expectation of reliability throughout the contract period. Capacity is ring-fenced from competitively participating in the market by having to offer the capacity in the SIDC [2h] before gate closing time at a predetermined high price.
Alternatively, it can be within the SDAC or one of the following IDAs, contingent upon acceptable merit order distortion levels (to be determined by decision makers). Resources do not earn revenues when activated in the market, but activations are compensated by a cost-based payment.
Eligibility & performance standards
Dynamic eligibility
Dynamic eligibility entails that the assets must meet a lower minimum requirement, but the quality of the service impacts the selection process (i.e. which providers are successful in the procurement process). The minimum requirement could for example be new, non-fossil assets. In the next stage, based on the needs assessment, one defines performance standards and associated derating factors.
Recovery scheme
TSO
Costs are initially borne by the TSO and subsequently recovered through regulated grid tariffs or alternative mechanisms. To ensure cost-reflectivity and support behavioural change, cost recovery is linked to peak consumption, by applying a kilowatt-based surcharge during predefined peak periods.
Any revenue generated from market activation at the designated strike price is used to offset the costs.

FRR availability obligation

FRR availability obligations require capacity providers to commit to making their resources available in the aFRR and mFRR EAM when needed, with obligations set and enforced by a central authority, such as a TSO.
In the aFRR and mFRR EAM and, capacity providers face cross-border competition and may be activated in coupled markets, provided that sufficient cross-zonal capacity is available. The Nordic aFRR and mFRR EAMs are expected to be integrated into the broader European market coupling initiatives, PICASSO and MARI respectively.
This mechanism resembles the existing FRR Capacity Mechanism (CM) but introduces three key differences. First, assets are secured several years in advance to enable the development of new-build projects. Second, contract durations are extended to provide the long-term revenue certainty needed for such investments. Third, the eligibility criteria—beyond those applied in the FRR CM—can be specifically tailored to target certain asset types, such as exclusively new, non-fossil assets, to ensure compliance with the regulatory requirements of the Non-Fossil Flexibility Support Scheme (NFFSS).
Under current balancing market regulations, the general rule is that contracts for balancing capacity must be concluded no more than one day in advance, and the contracting period must not exceed one day. Limited exemptions exist, allowing for lead-times of up to one month and contract durations of up to six months (as of 1 January 2026)
European Union (2019), Regulation (EU) 2019/943 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 5 June 2019 on the internal market for electricity, Official Journal of the European Union, L 158, 14.6.2019, p. 54–124, Article 6(9). Available at: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2019/943/oj 
. However, the mechanism proposed here—featuring contracting lead-times of several years and contract durations of potentially up to 15 years—goes well beyond what is permitted under the current balancing market framework. As such, it cannot be implemented under the standard balancing market regulation and must instead be approved and implemented under a separate regulatory regime, such as the NFFSS, which is specifically designed to support long-term investment in non-fossil flexibility resources.
Building block
Design choice
Description
Market-wide vs targeted
Targeted
Targeted mechanisms focus on specific types of capacity or particular segments of the market. These mechanisms are designed to address specific needs or gaps in the electricity supply, such as incentivising the development of renewable energy sources or ensuring the availability of peaking power plants. By concentrating on particular resources, targeted mechanisms can provide tailored solutions to specific challenges within the electricity market.
Determining and securing volume
Fully centralised
In a fully centralised market, a central authority, such as the TSO, is responsible for organising the procurement process. The central authority is contracting with providers to ensure system reliability.
Product obligation
Service-specific availability obligation
Providers receive capacity payments solely for the obligation to make flexibility available by participating in the aFRR/mFRR energy activation market (EAM). Awarded participants may generate further revenue through the participation in the FRR EAM markets if their bids are activated.
Eligibility & performance standards
Fixed eligibility
Fixed eligibility means that there are absolute minimum requirements that must be met to participate. This concept is well established in, for example, ancillary service markets, where technical minimum standards must be met as a condition for entry. The eligibility criteria can also be designed to target specific asset types, such as exclusively new, non-fossil assets, within a particular bidding zone or geographic location.
Recovery scheme
TSO
Costs are initially borne by the TSO and subsequently recovered through regulated grid tariffs or alternative mechanisms. To ensure cost-reflectivity and support behavioural change, cost recovery is linked to peak consumption, by applying a kilowatt-based surcharge during predefined peak periods.