6. sweden

	2020		2030
	Electricity	Fuel	Electricity	Fuel
Total savings TWh/year	14.25	1.55	22.87	2.99
Ton CO2eq (2022 average emissions; 28K T/TWh)	399,000		640,360
Kg CO2eq per person (2021 population)	38		61

Table 12: Swedish results CO2

6.1 Sweden: Scale-down results

Scaling factors

Below is a list of available scales. Not all scales are used but can be used to indicate the country population/GDP size etc. The description column explains the data in the scale, source, and year. The scale represents the country's percentage of the total EU consumption.

Table 13: Swedish scaling factors

Name	Description	Scale	Times used
None	None	100,00 %	0
Electricity	Final energy consumption by product Eurostat [ten00123] 2022, Electrical energy; TOE	5.12 %	1
Population	Population, 2021	2.34 %	0
GDP	GDP, 2022; Current prices, million euro	3.54 %	0
Houses	Stock of dwellings (permanently occupied), EUROSTAT; 2020	2.54 %	0
Car consumption	Car consumption 2021; toe	2.65 %	1
Industry	Final energy consumption in industry by type of fuel (elec) [ten00129]; ESTAT 2021	5.05 %	0
Service	Electricity consumption of services; Odyssee 2020; Mtoe	5.17 %	9
Residential electricity	Final energy consumption in households by type of fuel (elec) [ten00125]; ESTAT 2021	6.24 %	0
Circulators	SE stock * HDD / EU stock	5.10 %	1
Residential appliances electricity	Electricity consumption for dwellings for electrical appliances and lighting; Odyssee 2021	4.15 %	4
Water heaters	Energy in sweden, 3.4 elvärme in småhus 25% of total / EU consumption BAU scanario	2.97 %	0
Solid fuel boilers	Energy in numbers in sweden, 3.4, småhus, Fuel share 0.6 (Expert assumption); Eco scenario 2020, reduced 30% (NEW)	2.40 %	0
Central Air Heating	3.6*0.5; Eco scenario 2020 only Electricity (new)	3.83 %	1
Central Air Cooling	Energy in numbers in sweden, 3.3, lokaler, Cooling share of driftsel 0.1 (Expert assumption); Eco sceario 2020 (new)	1.99 %	0
Solid fuel boilers	Energy in numbers in sweden, 3.4, småhus, Multi, loc Fuel share 0.6 but reduced 30% (Expert assumption); BAU 2020 (NEW)	2.41 %	0
Local Heaters weighted	Energy in numbers in sweden, 3.4, småhus 20, Fuel share 0.4,(Expert assumption); BAU scenario 2020 (new)	1.78 %	0
Air-Air HP heat	Energy in numbers in sweden, 3.4, småhus, Air-air HP share of elvärme 0.15 (heat 0.9 of that) (Expert assumption); Eco scenario 2020	8.26 %	0
Air-Air HP cooling	Energy in numbers in sweden, 3.4, småhus, Air-air HP share of elvärme 0.15, cooling (0.1 of that) (Expert assumption); Eco scenario 2020	1.91 %	1
Residential+service	Residential + service sector merged	4.00 %	0
Washing machine	Washing machine bottom up / EU	1.89 %	0
Dishwasher stock	Dishwasher stock SE/EU *365 cycles/280	3.65 %	0
Dryers stock	Stock 2020 SE /EU	3.90 %	0
Central Heating - Water	Energy in Sweden 2019 – 10% of El in Houses, Multi, Locals – BAU 2020.	52.50 %	0
Central Heating - Heating	Energy in Sweden 2019 – 35% of El in Houses, Multi, Locals – BAU 2020. Scale x5 since Savings EU 2030 are understimated by factor 5	30.37 %	0
Servers & Data storage	JRC – Swedish Energy Agency (2023)	6.25 %	1
Motors & more	70% av El i industry Energiläget 20 vs EU BAU20 (new)	4.46 %	4
Bottom up		4.46 %	11

Top-down results

The scale-down results are in TWh/year. Most products only have electricity savings, but some heating-related products have both electricity and fuel savings. Savings for tyres are only calculated for fuel and not for electric vehicles.

The Impact Accounting report only calculate savings for fuel.

Table 14: Swedish top-down results

	2020			2030			Scale
Group	Electricity	Fuel	Final energy	Electricity	Fuel	Final energy	Scale factor	Scale name
Dedicated water heater	0.18	0.00	0.18	0.38	0.00	0.38	100.00%	Bottom up
Central heating combi, water heating	0.14	0.00	0.14	0.42	0.00	0.42	100.00%	Bottom up
Central heating boiler, space heating	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.12	0.02	0.14	100.00%	Bottom up
Solid fuel boilers	0.00	0.12	0.12	0.00	0.44	0.44	100.00%	Bottom up
Central air cooling	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	100.00%	Bottom up
Central air heating	0.08	0.23	0.31	0.23	0.00	0.23	3.83%	Central Air Heating
Local heaters	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.14	0.00	0.14	100.00%	Bottom up
Room air conditioner (of which cooling)	0.13	0.00	0.13	0.11	0.00	0.11	1.91%	Air-Air HP cooling
Room air conditioner (of which heating)	0.15	0.00	0.15	0.12	0.00	0.12	100.00%	Bottom up
Circulator pumps <2.5 kW	0.66	0.00	0.66	0.71	0.00	0.71	5.10%	Circulators
Ventilation units (res. and nonres.)	0.13	0.34	0.47	0.44	0.91	1.35	2.60%	Residential
Light sources	3.36	0.00	3.36	3.98	0.00	3.98	4.15%	Residential appliances electricity
Electronic displays	0.83	0.00	0.83	2.12	0.04	2.16	4.15%	Residential appliances electricity
Set top boxes	0.26	0.00	0.26	0.21	0.00	0.21	5.17%	Service
Video	0.21	0.00	0.21	0.21	0.00	0.21	5.17%	Service
Enterprise servers and data storage	0.12	0.00	0.12	0.19	0.00	0.19	6.25%	Servers & Data storage
Personal computers	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	5.17%	Service
Imaging equipment	0.36	0.00	0.36	0.36	0.00	0.36	5.17%	Service
SB (networked) stand-by (rest)	0.98	0.00	0.98	0.83	0.00	0.83	5.17%	Service
External power supplies	0.26	0.00	0.26	0.28	0.00	0.28	5.17%	Service
UPS total	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	5.17%	Service
Household refrigeration	1.62	0.00	1.62	2.26	0.00	2.26	100.00%	Bottom up
Commercial refrigeration	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.83	0.00	0.83	5.17%	Service
Professional refrigeration products	0.16	0.00	0.16	0.52	0.00	0.52	5.17%	Service
Cooking appliances	0.17	0.00	0.17	0.46	0.04	0.50	4.15%	Residential appliances electricity
Household coffee-makers	0.08	0.00	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.08	4.15%	Residential appliances electricity
Household washing machines	0.46	0.00	0.46	0.87	0.00	0.87	100.00%	Bottom up
Household dishwashers	0.60	0.00	0.60	0.94	0.00	0.94	100.00%	Bottom up
Household laundry dryers	0.60	0.00	0.60	0.59	0.00	0.59	100.00%	Bottom up
Vacuum cleaners	0.31	0.00	0.31	0.39	0.00	0.39	2.60%	Residential
Industrial fans >125W	0.63	0.00	0.63	1.38	0.00	1.38	4.46%	Motors & more
Electric motors LV 0.12–1000 kW	1.25	0.00	1.25	2.63	0.00	2.63	4.46%	Motors & more
Water pumps	0.15	0.00	0.15	0.17	0.00	0.17	4.46%	Motors & more
Standard air compressors	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4.46%	Motors & more
TRAFO utility transformers	0.29	0.00	0.29	0.86	0.00	0.86	5.12%	Electricity
Tyres, total Cl+C2+C3	0.00	0.85	0.85	0.00	1.54	1.54	2.65%	Car consumption

6.2 Sweden: Bottom-up results

Below are the bottom-up results for 2030. The table also shows the main assumption for sizes in litres, kilograms, place settings, and lifetime in years. All results are for households (not commercial or service).

Table 15: Swedish bottom-up results

	Size	Lifetime	Baseline GWh/year	Scenario GWh/year	Saving GWh/year
Refrigerator	345	12	575.5	229	346.5
Refrigerator/freezer	240/90	12	1,713.9	601.9	1,112
Freezer (chest)	260	15	188.9	71.5	117.4
Freezer (upright)	260	12	1,005.9	325.1	680.8
Washing machine	7	12	1,308.1	442.1	866
Dishwasher	12	9	1,747.2	805	942.2
Dryer	6	10	895.1	303.9	591.2