Challenges
The situation today is markedly different from what it was two decades ago. At that time, most Nordic countries were emerging from the economic crisis of the 1990s, which had a significant impact on family policy development. Fertility rates also decreased during the 1990s, particularly in Sweden (Andersson et al., 2009). This decline was largely attributed to the financial situation, where individual circumstances, general societal conditions, and local contexts all played a role. Today, there are major challenges regarding birth rates and the labour market situation. In all Nordic countries, birth rates have been falling over the last decades, with the most dramatic decline in Finland and the least in Norway (Jalovaara et al., 2019). However, it appears that today’s declining birth rates are due to different reasons, as the economy is no longer in the previous severe state. Despite having sufficient economic stability to sustain a family, many young couples still refrain from having children. In 2023, the total fertility rate ranged from 1.25 in Finland to 1.59 in Iceland and was somewhat higher in the autonomous regions (the Faroe Islands, Greenland, and Åland). This new northern query of why birth rates are declining occupies demographers, and many insightful studies are relevant on the issue (see, for instance, Gortfelder et al., 2024; Oláh & Neyer, 2021; Alderotti et al., 2021). However, there does not seem to be a universal explanation for the declining birth rate. 'Classical' concerns over the reconciliation of work and family life are still evident as explanations but are now situated in a new labour market context of platform economy and precarious work, with fewer and less secure labour market rights. New explanations revolve around uncertainty in a much wider area than the individual economic situation, including the general economy, concerns over climate change, and political unrest in the world (Matysiak & Vignoli, 2024). Additionally, a cultural shift towards more emphasis on parents’ increased time and investment in children may further seem unappealing to some (Símonardóttir, 2024). The role of parental leave policy in creating possibilities for parenthood may thus have changed.
Regarding the labour market, it is often argued that there is more insecurity today. However, it is important to distinguish between objective measures of labour market characteristics and trends, and the perception of these factors. All the Nordic countries have similar employment rates to the EU average for men and higher rates for women. The levels range from the lowest in Finland, with 78.3% for men and 78.1% for women, to the highest in Iceland, with 88.2% for men and 82.1% for women (Nordic Statistics Database, 2023). Nevertheless, it seems increasingly difficult to find a stable labour market position or a secure full-time job. The gig sector, platform economy, and temporary employment are becoming significant parts of the labour market and may serve as gateways to the more traditional, secure, and stable labour market. At the same time, temporary reduced work engagement, such as sick leave, part-time work, unemployment spells, and returning to further studies, seems to be becoming more common. Thus, instability and mobility in the labour market may indicate that the conditions (and preferences) for a secure full-time job have changed. Indeed, flexibility may also be desired by some groups as it creates possibilities to combine work with other parts of life that earlier generations often had to sacrifice. Examples include traveling, engaging in time-consuming hobbies, and so on. However, the new situation primarily creates new exclusions and social inequalities in the labour market, often based on immigrant status and educational level, while the old inequalities based on gender persist in a largely gender-segregated labour market. This puts parental leave in a different context, and the current setup may not work as well for large groups of parents
Another related dimension of the development that is relevant to the functioning of parental leave policies is the development of child poverty, sometimes connected to the immigration trends. An example here is the high share of immigrant mothers in Sweden using the leave at the basic flat rate indicating that they did not work before becoming parents, and often of a precarious economic situation.
Thus, when we consider the development of the paid parental leave in the various Nordic countries today, we need to not only connect it to the “usual suspects” of labour market and fertility trends, but also to consider how they influence the parental leave use along with other sources of insecurity, ranging from housing prospects to climate anxiety and war threats, and cultural transformations in parenting. Intensive parenting and ecological anxiety are examples of such influences on normative ideas of parenthood.
Social sustainability – a useful concept?
To consider a sustainable future as based on social, economic and ecological needs is often seen as originating in the Brundtland report (UN, 1987). The report argues for the urgency of considering economic, social and ecological justice together and not compromise future generations when striving to achieve such justice for the present situation. While family policy research has a long tradition of discussing how present economic and social equality should be attained in combination, there is less research so far that consider long term aspects of sustainability and even less that include the ecological aspect. But recently some studies have started to speak about how social policy is related to climate sustainability (Boström, 2012, Koch, 2022, Hirvilammi et al., 2023) and family policy is obviously an intrinsic part of social policy. Family policy, including parental leave, can be seen as part of the general ecological-social policy discussion, but may also contribute to the discussion with the crucial dimension of caring for the very concrete future that is entailed in children. Thus, the argument for integrating ecological, social and economic sustainability when considering the future of paid parental leave is relevant but needs development. Reproduction is sometimes used as the link between these three dimensions of sustainability, as environmental factors pose risks for pregnancy and birth, especially for those in the most vulnerable situation (Sasser, 2024) and in the literature, parenthood and potential future hazards related to climate change, have been discussed together (Björklund, 2024).
A major aspect of sustainability is to view challenges such as gender inequality, social inequalities and labour market difficulties as interconnected. Also, sustainability incentivizes goals on health and wellbeing, decent work, economic growth, and fertility, which should be considered simultaneously and as connected. Connecting a broader palette of goals that can be addressed with paid parental leave is a major advancement, and using the concept of sustainability to make such a connection is helpful. In fact, various aspects of social and economic sustainability have been addressed in parental leave policy research. For example, research on the gendered use of leave and the outcomes of leave take-up on women’s labour market participation and men’s informal care participation directly addresses the UN sustainable development goals of increasing gender equality. Other goals are related to reduced poverty and economic inequalities. Parental leave policies address these goals by securing payments to parents while they withdraw from the labour market to care for their young children. Leave policy research has addressed poverty and social inequalities by placing focus on how entitlements and payments vary according to labour market attachment and family form. Increased health and well-being are another sustainable development goal that have been addressed in research on the outcomes of paid parental leave (see for example Lindbeck et al., 2018). While sustainability is a useful concept for directing leave policy research towards various interconnecting factors that matter for the future, it also demands innovative and constructive thinking, within a more rigid set of policy analysis than we are used to.
We attempt to approach the development of paid parental leave in the Nordic countries with a sustainability approach, primarily considering the dimensions of gender, social and economic inequality together. The sustainability approach raises concerns about fertility choices and capabilities, economic and social inequality, decent work and individual health and wellbeing. At the same time, we need to consider how these challenges of “a good life” translate to the societal level where questions of economic growth, gender and social equality and climate change are to be considered. Two immediate connections where paid parental leave plays a role are apparent, one regarding fertility and one regarding the structure of family policy. These two aspects are interdependent.
Regarding fertility, parental leave aims to make the combination of children and work possible for men and women by providing economic security and time during the early period of a child’s life. On a societal level, this may lead to stable and relatively high fertility, ensuring a sustainable population composition and a balanced age dependency ratio. In short, fertility close to the reproduction rate will provide the workforce of the future. However, if young men and women refrain from parenthood due to climate concerns, the current parental leave policies may not be very helpful. Examples from the developed world include birth strikes and media coverage of the challenges of having children during a climate crisis (Sasser, 2024). Such concerns are likely not evenly distributed, and reproductive injustice will amplify social and economic inequalities, as climate change is likely to impact already vulnerable groups in society. While the response to climate anxiety and its effects on childbearing will come from policies and political actions beyond family policy, it should be noted that universal and generous parental leave may improve health and contribute to achieving some of the UN sustainability goals (Heymann et al., 2017). This is likely beneficial for globally balanced fertility and ecological goals, but may be less significant in the Nordic countries, where well-developed family policies are more or less assumed today.
In the Nordic countries, parental leave is supported by high tax revenues, high labour force participation, and economic growth. However, economic growth often seems at odds with ecological sustainability, as it can increase the strain on nature. The incentive to combine work and care to provide for children may conflict with climate concerns, making it difficult to balance good parenthood with a climate-friendly lifestyle (Björklund, 2024). Björklund (2024) highlights examples in the literature of conflicting goals for parents, concluding that norms stemming from family policy (to provide economically) often trump ecological concerns. In this bleak view of the future of societies built on economic growth, one way forward may be to value care at the same level as paid work. Upgrading the concept of care could help find a balance between ecological, economic, and social sustainability. This upgrading needs to go hand in hand with continued development of gender equality, even in the most gender-equal contexts, such as the Nordic countries. Much theoretical and empirical work is needed, but important contributions on how to broaden the concept have been initiated (Folbre, 2024; Tronto, 2013; Doucet, 2023a, 2023b; Doucet & Duvander, 2022).
The sustainability frame makes us affirm that the social and economic inequalities created in todays’ Nordic countries, and specifically in the labour market, need to be related to the ecological situation. We welcome the discussion on how these matters for the analysis of paid parental leave, here and in the years to come.
Nordic cooperation on sustainable development
The Nordic countries have set common goals towards a sustainable future. In 2020 the Nordic Council of Ministers presented its actions for 2021 to 2024, with the goal of reaching the vision of the Nordic region becoming the most integrated and sustainable region world-wide, by 2030. In the action plan it was stressed that for the Nordic region to become socially sustainable, its inhabitants must feel safe, and that health and well-being must be promoted. A focus was placed on safeguarding and further developing the Nordic welfare model, particularly with regards to access and services for vulnerable children, young people and adults. Efforts also included enhancing social inclusion and supporting the well-being of children and young people. The Nordic Council of Ministers emphasized the need for further cooperation on health, and the need to address challenges stemming from an aging population. In all its activities, the Nordic Council of Ministers aimed to integrate sustainable development, gender equality and children’s rights (Nordic Council of Ministers, 2020).
Despite an emphasis on building a socially sustainable Nordic Region, and the emphasis on equal access to benefits and services that promote equality, previous projects have not produced knowledge about the significance of paid parental leave for social sustainability in the region. This report aims to address this gap in knowledge by highlighting the need to focus on children’s first years of life, as children are the future and are therefore at the heart of social sustainability.