Nanortalik and Narsaq are facing sluggish demand for some of their main products and services, with fluctuating prices and earnings. Due to their remoteness and small size, connections to external suppliers and markets are relatively weak. Therefore, achieving a more resilient and sustainable future requires finding opportunities that produce value added locally and maximize benefits for locals. In this regard, in interviews with locals the conversation often turned to hopes surrounding the fish factory or the new goldmine nearby.
On the survey question of whether the respondents in Nanortalik see themselves in town 10 years from now, i.e. “I can see myself in this town 10 years from now”, only 3.5% of respondents strongly disagreed and 17.2% disagreed, whereas 17.2% strongly agreed and 17.2% agreed, and 44.8% responded neither/nor. Thus, while trends suggest a future with more depopulation and stagnation, a strong majority of respondents either do or can see themselves living in Nanortalik ten years from now. While these results may reveal certain positive prospects for internal resilience, the fact that 61.4% of respondents either disagree or strongly disagree with the statement “Municipality amalgamation has increased people´s belief in a better future” may be more indicative of resident´s common perception towards the prospects for internal resilience.
One interviewee explains, “The municipality amalgamation was in 2009, and after that everything got increasingly worse.” Another person notes, “There is more bureaucracy, and everything takes longer time.” Yet another respondent perceives that times were much better before amalgamation: “Before the amalgamation we were a rich municipality: the fishery, the goldmine, tourism”, and “The amalgamation is the reason why Nanortalik is no longer a rich municipality; the new municipality no longer listen to what locals here have to say.”
In analysing the internal structure, the degree of resilience, and the level and potential of increased economic diversification, an approach is to study the strength and number of local economic linkages. Industries are linked to other industries and sectors in ways that can be considered in deciding on a development strategy – or in evaluating the impact of resource development. Linkages to consider include for example backward linkages. While our case study region is very small, backward linkages (input from other industries) in general are most effective when the using industry (e.g. fisheries) becomes so large that supplying industries (e.g. safety clothes) can achieve economies of scale of their own, thus lowering their production costs and becoming competitive. Backward linkages might include e.g. clothing, food, machinery, equipment, security, subcontracting, supplier contracts, service collaborations, and so on. However, such economies of scale in supplying industries would be difficult to generate for a small locality such as Nanortalik.
Forward linkages are also important for the region. This includes input into other industries, i.e. when investment in a project leads to investments in subsequent stages of production, for example, adding value by processing fish instead of exporting it raw or unprocessed. Our many observation and interviews in the local industrial fish processing plant, which is owned and operated by Arctic Prime Fisheries, revealed that many capital and labour intensive steps had been taken to increase locally benefitting value creation, including the production of a final product (dried salted cod) for export (mostly to Spain and Portugal), providing stable employment for about 35 to 40 local residents, as well as providing jobs on the company´s offshore vessel to a similar number of Kujalleq residents, most of them from Nanortalik.
There are also potential horizontal linkages, such as skills developed in one sector that can be transferred to other sectors (for example personnel receiving management training in fisheries who will then be able to use that training in e.g., mining projects, public administration, etc.). These kinds of linkages seem realistic for a place like Nanortalik. Moreover, there are the basic consumption linkages, also referred to as final demand linkages, where a place realizes an increase in demand by those who have realized an increase in income and as a result spend more on consumption goods (i.e. more demand for basic consumer goods in the local stores due to increased local income). This type of linkage will be smaller when earnings are lower (as in the case of unskilled labour), earnings are not spent locally, or profits leave home jurisdictions as payments to shareholders (i.e. the case often observed in remote locations in extractive industries). In the case of Nanortalik local residents expect increased income for many if the goldmine becomes a success and if locals will receive more of the well-paying jobs. In addition to these types of linkages, there may also be side-stream linkages, which are links to support infrastructure (power, logistics, communications, water) that can be used for other projects or sectors as the place develops further. The same is the case for basic infrastructure linkages (e.g. roads, water, ports, power grids, communications, airports, etc). These types of linkages have tended to be rather weak in the case of Nanortalik in particular, which is also reflected in the interview data.
Probably one of the most important linkages in a northern context is the fiscal linkage, when government revenues (corporate and income taxes, and royalties) can be used to finance development in other sectors in the region or locally. This type of linkage is contingent on the nature of institutional arrangements and cost-benefit agreements made. In the case of South Greenland, the fiscal linkage primarily connects to the central government, and funds are subsequently distributed from there to the benefit of Greenland in general, and not specifically to the town or regional locality where the economic project or activity is taking place.
Nanortalik does not have much productive trade except for activities in fisheries, tourism, and the start-up of goldmining. But these are sectors that are small in Nanortalik. The fish factory in Nanortalik is the heart of town, where production could be potentially larger with more quota, more local production, and with more small-scale fishers selling more of their catch to the local factory. But local fishermen described a lack of financial support for new fishing boats and sorely needed upgrading of equipment. In interviews with locals concerns over deteriorating or lacking infrastructure and support was expressed by several people, e.g. “What is missing and what we need in Nanortalik is a first-rate harbour for big fishing ships and harbour facilities which can accommodate cruise ships with 1000 passengers or more.” Some further argued, “Fisheries would be better if local hunters could sail further out, but they need new boats and motors for that, and support is lacking.”
In the case of tourism, the local community is somewhat divided on the question of whether the expansion of tourism has been positive for the town, with 42.1% responding that it has not been positive, whereas 24.6% agree and 7% strongly agree that it has been positive. 26.3% responded neither/nor. The relatively big negative response may be related to the growth in cruise tourism with large cruise ships (1-2000 passengers) visiting the town, resulting in large numbers of tourists relative to the small size of the town. Also, common issues of rapid growth of the tourism sector includes concerns that cruise companies and cruise ships negatively impact communities through air and water pollution, economic leakage, and tax avoidance. Tourism can put enormous stress on local land use, and can lead to soil erosion, increased pollution, natural habitat loss, and more pressure on endangered species. Negative factors such as strain on local infrastructure, limited money spent locally, cruise ships sometimes changing their schedules, or not keeping to agreements can add additional frustration and negative sentiments about this sector. Yet, in interviews with local residents, where interviewees have had time to reflect on the issues, we heard positive takes on the growth of this sector, but also concerns over lack of infrastructure to meet the growing needs. One interviewee explained, “We need more opportunities for people to visit Nanortalik and its surrounding nature. We do not have an airstrip and Air Greenland can only bring 9 passengers each time they arrive at our helicopter port. The company Disko Line does not bring enough tourists to Nanortalik, and their tickets are very expensive.”
In interviews locals have explained the following procedure: “When a cruise ship docks near our town for a day or two, one thousand or more passenger tourists are brought ashore in smaller boats. We sell these tourists ahead of time various ’packages’ – which are put together in collaboration with different local service providers and people in charge of institutions such as the school, church and the museum – and included in these packages are such things as visit to our big indoor and outdoor local museum, the church and harbour market place, listening to choruses (there are three in town), observing performances of various sort, enjoying things and activities produced by the elementary school´s children and their teachers, and going on speedboats into our fjord to enjoy icebergs, the glacier, Greenland´s only evergreen forest and nature in general as well as fishing“. About 50–150 locals participate in making and offering tours. Activities also includes smaller day tours, and activities like kaffemik (coffee and cake usually at someone’s home) folkdance, church choir, etc. There are also local artists who set up booths and sell their craft. The museum offers activities such as demonstration of how to clean a seal, etc. Earnings from these local tour and event activities amount to 70,000– 150,000 DKK, and this income is distributed among those who have participated.
But one operator explains, “We all gain when the ships come in; many people work together, and the benefits are distributed among many households.” Another notes, “We have a good flow of tourists, but they only buy a few souvenirs.” Some interviewees explain the opportunities and challenges: “In spite of Covid 19 it has been good this summer - it has been busy. There have been new hotel guests from North Greenland – they meet a Greenland they do not know at all, and it amazes them when they come here,” which by some is viewed as a sign of resilience because the local market was able to expand to meet the increased demand from domestic tourists. At the same time others argue in a similar vein as often heard in other small towns along the Arctic coast, that there is too little staff to handle demands of thousands of tourists. Moreover, as explained by some, infrastructure or sites need repairs to be able to meet demand. There is a need for more toilet facilities and in general more of a strategy to prepare for a sustainable tourism. These kind of challenges – although a concern at the local level – are similar to many other places in the early phases of a tourism growth strategy.
While fishing and tourism have been important economic pillars for Nanortalik for a long time, mining has been viewed by many as a possible source of income and jobs for locals, both in the case of the goldmine Nalunaq, but also in earlier days the once proposed rare earth and uranium mine in Narsaq. So far there are not many locals who have worked for the mine, but one interviewee explained that the goldmine nonetheless provides some income for Nanortalik, because of service and consumer goods purchased from Nanortalik. One local in Nanortalik remarked, “The goldmine is our last chance – the fish is not enough. We cannot live of the tourists either – we have no accommodation. They have been talking about 20–30 years ahead in time with the goldmine.”
While most locals have seen opportunities in the start-up of goldmining located in an area of about 37 km from the town of Nanortalik, some worry about jealousy from potential increased inequality between those who get opportunities with the mine and those who do not. One local noted,
"People here don´t worry about environmental issues concerning the Nalunaq goldmine, they think about the employment. However, I do worry about possible jealousy from mining in the future."
There are many challenges with ineffective linkages and barriers to realizing growth, many of which would be interesting to study in the context of the case study in South Greenland. These might include sluggish demand, fluctuating prices and earnings, linkages that are slow to materialize, difficulty for smaller and more remote locations to link up with communities and centres economically. In the case study region, especially in the case of mining in South Greenland, backward linkages to suppliers and consumption linkages may be less likely to work well; or infrastructure (ports, railroads, transport) built for the mine site may not lower costs and stimulate investments in other industries – nor may remote and specialized capital be well suited for other projects. Also, in terms of fiscal linkages, given the many fiscal challenges and a growing need for financial resources, it may be difficult to choose between options for where to channel resource wealth.
Successful economic diversification toward more diverse production and trade structure depends on many things, including supply of appropriate incentive frameworks; investments and policy reform that is geared towards reducing trade costs; effective policies that supports the reallocation of resources towards new economic activities (including from the informal sector); and government interventions (market interventions), addressing weak institutions (need for new institutional arrangements). There needs to be political commitment and societal support towards economic development, a capacity to manage a diversification process, and local stakeholder interest and support in new sectors, including human capital formation and institutional arrangements. Addressing the persistent gaps in human and fiscal capacity is critical, and so far a place such as Nanortalik have many challenges to overcome.