Both Sweden and Denmark mentioned policies/instruments where there is an unclear relationship between the environmental problem and the incentives, their examples being related to the tax on plastic bags in Sweden and the tax on aviation tickets in Denmark. The correlation between the environmental problem and the incentives is weak, and governments tend to overestimate that imposing a new environmental policy and related economic instrument would have a positive impact without sufficient systematic economic analysis. This relates to Greaker, Golombek and Hoel (2019) who state that it is hard to say how easily consumers will adapt to e.g., flying less. Further, they argue that no country can currently predict exactly what it will cost to become a ‘low-emissions society’. It is difficult to predict future cost reductions for renewable power, batteries and hydrogen-based solutions, and it is difficult to say how easily consumers will adapt.
Aviation taxes are used in several Nordic countries to mitigate the environmental impact. There are several types of aviation taxes such as ticket taxes, Value added tax, taxation on aircraft fuel, environmental taxes and taxes for air cargo. In 2019, a study by the Directorate-General for Mobility and Transport at the European Commission modelled the effect of the change in the taxation regime, in terms of various impacts, such as potential CO2 emission reductions from the aviation sector across member states, including some of the Nordic countries. The different impact tax scenarios illustrated that in Sweden an abolition of the ticket tax could increase the CO2 emissions with 4% from 2.5 to 2.7 Mton. An introduction of an aviation ticket tax in Finland, could decrease the CO2 emissions with -4% from 2.1 to 2.0 Mton. A similar pattern can be seen for Denmark, were introducing a ticket tax could decrease the CO2 emissions with 4% from 2.7 to 2.6 Mton.
Moreover, introducing a fuel excise duty could decrease the CO2 emissions from the aviation sector at a higher rate, ranging between -8% in Sweden, -9% in Denmark to -12% in Finland compared to current situation according to the modelled results (European Commission, 2019b). The aviation tax can be seen a model for more climate protection to combat climate change and the goals set by the Paris Agreement. The Nordic governments could create policy programmes that aims to decrease the costs for low carbon projects that provides incentives to promote emission free aviation such as electric and hydrogen planes.
Fossil Free Sweden presented a road map in 2018 for transforming the aviation industry to 2030. The road map highlighted one of the largest obstacles for introducing fossil-free fuel into in the aviation sector is related to the lack of market forces to push the development. Governmental support for commercialising the product processes of bio-jet fuels is needed in both Sweden, and the other Nordic countries in order to create sustainable aviation sector (Fossilfritt Sverige, 2018).
Internal contradictions or bureaucracy may create problems in the green transition. One of the Danish experts interviewed mentioned that despite the country’s ambitious goals on expanding offshore renewable energy sources, the permitting process has created an obstacle. The permitting process may take up to six years. Furthermore, the expert highlighted that the shift from conventional towards organic farming is a sensitive topic in Denmark. The agricultural sector receives large subsidies from the EU, thus there are strong lobbying behind each initiative. Committing to a shift to organic farming requires large investments, which conventional farmers have small possibilities to make, due to low price elasticity for their products. As they struggle to preserve their agricultural production in the long run, it is difficult to fully commit towards the shift needed.
Several experts stated that lobbying organisations with strong opposition towards the implementation of new environmental taxes have raised issues in several Nordic countries, such as Denmark, Finland and Iceland. Many of these groups have a large influence and can negotiate to be exempt from new taxes. This also become a problem when removing a subsidy, as organisations that have benefitted from the subsidy may use their lobbying power to impact the policy outcome. The industries across the Nordic region have been given tax rebates and exemptions to protect its competitiveness on the international market. Overall, it can reduce the effectiveness of the economic instruments.
A wide acceptance of the profound consequences of climate change within the society is needed in order to make a positive policy change. Several of the experts interviewed highlighted that one of the challenges in the Nordic countries is obtaining an acceptance regarding the consequences of climate change across social groups and regions.
8.5 Conclusion
This chapter makes it clear that there are many similarities between theory and practice. Market-based strategies, such as environmental taxes, seems to be most common in the Nordic countries. Direct subsidies and other forms of support, such as research programmes are also common. All Nordic countries use a vast variety of policies, just like highlighted as important by scholars. However, it is also prevalent that, although there are similarities, scholars do not always agree with the instruments used. Further, there are risks associated with some of the instruments used. This is also somewhat corroborated by the interviewed experts. The reviewed literature emphasizes that more international cooperation is needed, and the experts interviewed highlight that cooperation between the Nordic countries has decreased over time. The interviews also highlighted that there are other challenges the countries are subject to, such as lobbying organisations who disagree with the implementation of new environmental taxes. Conclusively, there are a wide range of examples of similarities between what instruments or policies theory suggest and what the Nordic countries use, but there are also risks associated with the chosen instruments.