Regarding the criterion to supply several end-use sectors, a similar level of integration may be achieved if one end-user has several suppliers. However, because most projects are production-oriented, the number of such projects (end-users with multiple suppliers) is expected to be very low, and they were not included in the proposed definition.
The first criterion does not have strict sub-criteria that must be fulfilled (e.g. aligning with rules for geographically confined hydrogen networks set out in Article 52 of the EU’s Directive on common rules for the internal markets for renewable gas, natural gas and hydrogen (EU 2024/1788)). More detailed criteria would make the task of mapping extremely challenging due to the limited public access to project-specific data. Having a specified site of hydrogen production supplying specific end-users is sufficient is sufficient to fulfil criterion 1. The interplay between the first criterion and the second criterion (end-use sectors) is further discussed in Section 3.1.
Regarding the fourth criterion (scale), we find the capacity metric used by Horizon Europe (production capacity) more suitable than the investment metric used by Mission Innovation (investment volume) for the following reasons:
Investment estimates are uncertain and change as a project matures.
Investment estimates are often communicated as lump sums without details on the scope and methodology of the estimate, making it very difficult to compare projects. An investment estimate may include costs that are not directly related to the hydrogen value chain.
For most projects, information on production volumes is more readily available than information on investments, which facilitates mapping.
It should be noted that the Mission Innovation platform considers not only scale, but also project replicability and scalability in its scale criterion. Replicability and scalability are difficult to assess in a definitive way for early-stage projects with very limited information publicly available. Therefore, the mapping only considered production capacity (which is an easily evaluated metric) for the scale criterion. However, we consider all the identified valleys to be either replicable or scalable, although modifications would of course be necessary to allow implementation at other locations.
We consider the fifth criterion suitable since it avoids the inclusion of highly uncertain projects in the “concept stage”.
The sixth criterion was not formally included in the proposed definition since it would require an assessment of the electricity used for electrolysis in all mapped projects, which may prove difficult for early-stage projects. However, it can be expected that virtually all included projects use renewable energy.
With the adjustments discussed above, a Nordic definition of a “hydrogen valley” can be given: