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IN NUMBERS: WHO’S AHEAD? WHO’S FALLING BEHIND IN THE NORDIC GREEN JOBS RACE?

The green transition – of labour markets and the economy, and throughout society – is no longer a question of ‘if’ but of ‘when’, and largely a question of ‘how’.
The Nordic Region is described as being at the forefront of this transition (Jensen, K., 2023), and all countries (for which there is data) have taken on the ‘green labour market challenge’, with more demand seen for green jobs between 2011 and 2021 (OECD, 2023). According to the global management consulting firm McKinsey & Company, nearly one million new jobs could be created by the Nordic green transition, capturing up to EUR 130 billion in GDP (Aagaard, P., et al., 2022).
Aagaard, P., Riis Andersen, J., Dahlqvist, F., and Nauclér, T., 2022 (1 September). Playing offense to create Nordic sustainability champions.
Supported by the strong Nordic commitment to working towards achieving a green and gender-equal region (Nordic Council of Ministers, 2022), this should be an ideal springboard for achieving the ambitions of a green labour market, gender equality, and competitiveness all at the same time.
At the same time, transitions – be they green, digital, or otherwise – are rarely easy; systemic change does not happen overnight. New OECD figures unveil both gender and geographic gaps in green jobs today. Nothing close to equal gender representation in green jobs has been achieved in any country across the Nordic Region, while those in polluting, or brown, jobs or sectors may see their jobs disappear or fully change. In these jobs, men are overrepresented. The figures also show that green jobs are often in capital cities and surrounding areas, although green jobs are increasing at a faster pace at the sub-national level in the region, where there has already been a high level of ‘green intensity’ (OECD, 2023). This is particularly the case for northern Sweden, which is seeing big new industrialisation and rapid green growth (see, for instance, Wallin, G., 2021).
Wallin, G., 2021 (29 April). Green transition brings big industry to northern Sweden. Nordic Labour Journal.
THE AMBITION: A SOCIALLY SUSTAINABLE REGION
"Together, we will promote an inclusive, equal, and interconnected region with shared values and strengthened cultural exchanges and welfare."
This means that we will:
Work towards a socially sustainable green transition that does not increase inequalities in Nordic society. These efforts aim to counter socio-economic, cultural, and geographical challenges linked to the green transition. (Objective 10)

The good news: green jobs are on the up in the Nordic countries

Although many countries and organisations have outlined generic green job trends, very few have been able to provide detailed statistics on numbers of green jobs, the sectors and occupations they are in, and which genders are in green jobs today (Janta, B., et al., 2023). To zoom in on the geographic and social effects of the green transition and link these to employment policy, the OECD has classified green jobs on the basis of the tasks the jobs entail. However, these figures are only a snapshot of how countries in the region are faring with green jobs. For instance, the overview looks only at women and men in green jobs and not at gender diverse people, and, given it is the first study of its kind, certain geographic nuances may not be captured. Furthermore, some figures may not correlate with national-level statistics due to the task-based classification approach.
Country
Workers in green jobs (total men and women)
Women in green jobs
Men in green jobs
Workers in 'polluting' jobs (total men and women)
Denmark
23.6%
29.3%
70.7%
10.1%
Finland
23.6%
29.3%
70.7%
14.9%
Iceland
22.9%
29%
71%
11.5%
Norway
26.3%
29.4%
70.6%
11.1%
Sweden
26.6%
34.4%
65.6%
11.1%
Nordic average
(5 countries)
24.6%
30.28%
69.72%
11.74%
OECD average
(30 countries)
17.6%
28.3%
71.7%
11.7%
Note: These OECD-generated statistics are based on O*NET’s Green Task Development Project, which identifies occupations affected by green economy activities and the emergence of new green technology, with almost 1,400 tasks considered green across occupations. O*NET identified two types of occupations with green tasks: green new and emerging occupations (new jobs created in response to green economy activities and the emergence of new green technologies, such as wind energy engineers) and green enhanced skills occupations (occupations where tasks performed have significantly transformed in response to green economy activities and the emergence of new green technologies, such as construction and building inspector). Learn more: O*NET’s Green Task Development Project.
Figure 1: Green jobs in the Nordic Region
Source: OECD, 2023. See individual country profiles for Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden.
It is estimated that just under 18 per cent of workers in OECD countries were in green jobs in 2021 – or in jobs with substantially (i.e. 10 per cent or more) green tasks. The Nordic Region has significantly higher figures: 24.6 per cent of workers were in green jobs that year. Sweden had the highest average across the Nordic countries, with 26.6 per cent of workers being in green jobs, while the other Nordic countries do not fall far behind.
All regions in Denmark, Finland, Iceland, and Sweden saw an increase in the share of green jobs in their labour force between 2011 and 2021. Norway saw demand for green jobs grow by four per cent between the first quarter of 2019 and the first quarter of 2021, but the relative growth varied greatly at the sub-national level. However, only slightly more than 30 per cent – or less than a third – of all green workers in the Nordic Region are women.
GREEN JOBS ARE IN DEMAND IN DENMARK
Supported by a fast ‘greening’ of labour demand, Southern Denmark and Central Jutland are estimated to be on track to join the group of regions with the highest share of green jobs across the OECD.
Source: OECD, 2023.

Beware! Many are at risk of falling behind in the ‘green jobs race’

Nordic women are underrepresented in green jobs, although all countries in the region find themselves today slightly above the OECD average of 28.3 per cent female workers in the green economy. Sweden is the Nordic country with the highest share of women in green jobs – at 34.4 per cent – while the other countries are hovering around the 29 per cent mark. The Baltic states are the closest to achieving equal representation of women and men in green jobs in the OECD countries. In Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia, women represent at least 39 per cent of those working in green jobs (Zakrzewska, A., and Fitzgerald, L., 2023).
Zakrzewska, A., and Fitzgerald, L., 2023. Empowering women to power the green transition. OECD blog.
On average, 11.74 per cent of workers in the Nordic Region, about the same as in all OECD countries, were in ‘polluting’ or brown jobs in 2021. In Finland, this figure was higher than in other countries in the region, at 14.9 per cent of workers. As it is estimated that the vast majority of these jobs (83.4 per cent across the OECD) were held by men (OECD, 2023), these workers find themselves at risk of either losing their jobs or having their jobs transformed as part of the green transition. In practical terms, many (mostly male) workers in these industries will, either now or shortly, face a difficult choice: developing new green skills or risking unemployment. Both scenarios will require timely and adequate policy responses.
According to the OECD’s analysis, in the Nordic countries, and elsewhere, capital cities and the surrounding areas have so far been leading the way in green job creation and are a step ahead when it comes to closing gender gaps. A reason for this may be that capital cities and the surrounding areas have a higher concentration of highly skilled workers, which in turn affects demand for and growth in green job opportunities.
  • Denmark: In Copenhagen, 38.5 per cent of green jobs were held by women. In Northern Jutland, however, only 19.1 per cent of green jobs were held by women.
  • Finland: In Helsinki-Uusimaa, 35.2 per cent of green jobs were held by women, whereas women accounted for only 24.1 per cent of those in green jobs in eastern and northern parts of the country.
  • Norway: Women held 33.4 per cent of green jobs in Oslo and Viken, while women accounted for only 24.1 per cent of those in green jobs in Agder and Sør-Østlandet.
  • Sweden: In Stockholm, 40.8 per cent of green jobs were held by women. OECD figures show that, in comparison, women accounted for only 27.1 per cent of those in green jobs in Central Norrland in 2021. 
These figures paint only part of the picture, however. The Nordic Region has taken the global lead in green industry and technology development, spanning areas such as biogas, offshore wind and geothermal energy, battery production and electric transport, digitalisation technology, carbon-free steel, geological storage of carbon dioxide, and forest-based bioeconomy (Sand, J., 2023). Most of this development is taking place outside of the capitals, in more remote areas.
Between the start of 2019 and early 2021, the demand for green jobs grew by 75.5 per cent in Sweden (OECD, 2023). Industries are shifting away more and more from unsustainable practices, while massive investments are being made in in green technology in northern Sweden, including the investment of SEK 1,000 billion in green industrial establishments over the coming two decades (Northern Sweden CleanTech, 2022).
Northern Sweden CleanTech, 2022 (2 June). This Is How Sweden Will Lead the Green Transition.
It is estimated that between 100,000 and 300,000 workers will be needed to support this transition in northern Sweden, in both direct and indirect jobs (Nordregio, 2022). This brings a need for more housing, infrastructure, and services such as schools and healthcare, in addition to skills development programmes. Already, thousands of jobs have been created, attracting workers from all over the world, often engineers, operators, and other technical experts (Wallin, G., 2021).
Wallin, G., 2021 (29 April). Green transition brings big industry to northern Sweden. Nordic Labour Journal.
A study looking at the development process of the Swedish EU Territorial Just Transition Plan (Moodie, J., et al., 2021)
Moodie, J., Tapia, C., Löfving, L., Sánchez Gassen, N., and Cedergren, E., 2021. Towards a Territorially Just Climate Transition—Assessing the Swedish EU Territorial Just Transition Plan Development Process. Nordregio.
highlights labour shortages and a demographic decline, which limit the local talent pool. With strongly gender-segregated labour markets in the areas where large-scale transformation is taking place, it argues for attracting more women to jobs in traditionally male-dominated sectors that are key to the green transition, locally, as one solution. Another area for action is support for students (mostly male) towards completion of higher education. Overall, these massive green investments bring not only livelihood opportunities in communities but also challenges in terms of ensuring that all women and men in their diversity can respond to increased pressures for industrial restructuring, reskilling, and evolving occupational and regional mobility. This will demand more analysis and policy action going forward (Alsos, K. and Dølvik, J.E. (eds.), 2021).
Alsos, K., and Dølvik, J.E. (eds.), 2021. The Future of Work in the Nordic Countries: Opportunities and Challenges for The Nordic Working Life Models. Nordic Council of Ministers.

FINLAND GOT INFORMED: A GENDER LENS ON CLIMATE ACTIONS

When Finland formulated its national climate and energy strategy, it assessed the strategy’s gender impacts. It looked at how proposed policy measures would affect men and women across six sectors: energy production, construction and buildings, transport, industry, the service sector, and agriculture. 
‘The assessment shows that gender mainstreaming in the design of measures is important for both equality and the acceptability and effectiveness of climate action.’
It found that policy measures would mainly affect male-dominated sectors, with solutions that would be of greater interest to men and affect their consumer habits. Economic activity and employment would be positive in energy production, construction, transport, industry, and forestry, although certain male-dominated ‘brown’ jobs, in fossil fuels in particular, were likely to disappear.
On the other hand, it found that most of the negative effects would be felt in female-dominated service sectors, and called for action for more gender-aware climate budgeting and identified an urgent need to dismantle occupational gender segregation, especially in green job sectors. It recommended increasing women’s education, both for those sectors benefiting from climate measures and for energy-related tasks in the service sector. 
The assessment recommended focusing on measures that increase women’s inclusion in climate policy, which would be a win-win and lead to greater reductions in emissions. 

SUGGESTIONS: QUANTIFYING AND ANALYSING THE NORDIC GREEN JOB (GENDER) DIVIDE

  • Generate analyses based on regularly reported national sex-disaggregated and gender-sensitive data, from climate-relevant institutions and companies, on who and where is ahead and who is falling behind in accessing Nordic green jobs. This can include creating a common Nordic platform with information and resources, for comparative purposes, that also includes intersecting issues such as gender-related information.
  • Develop common Nordic guidelines and procedures for gender-impact assessments of climate policies, programmes, and projects for use across the countries. These assessments could be used to gain knowledge about who the green transition will benefit and should be targeted, so as to ensure the effectiveness of climate actions.
  • Map and analyse possible industries or sectors at risk of fundamental change and/or closure in the green transition, and identify which workers are at risk of job losses, at the national and sub-national levels and also across the Nordic Region as a whole.