The impact of an environmental fee depends on the price elasticities of both demand and supply. The price elasticity of demand refers to how much consumers (or producers acquiring inputs) will change their demand following a price increase or decrease. In contrast, the price elasticity of supply refers to how much producers are willing to supply at different price levels. Together, they determine the combined effect of an environmental fee. The amount of the fee transmitted to consumers is the tax incidence, which is only, in special cases, the full amount of the fee. Environmental fees often concern “necessity goods”, characterised by a low degree of elasticity of demand, as these types of goods will be consumed on the market even with substantial changes in product prices. Examples include water, petrol and electricity. If the goods have a low degree of price elasticity, the effect of taxation is less than that of regular goods and should, in theory, be higher to be impactful.
An example is the tax on petrol – as petrol is considered a fairly inelastic good, because the price change has little effect on short-term consumption levels. Yet, the long-term elasticity is still more elastic, as consumers and the market adopt over time. This can for example be seen from the market shift to electric vehicles, which offers an equivalent substitute to the gasoline engine. However, setting the tax “as high as possible” has shown to have regressive social effects and therefore distortive market outcomes, posing a heavy burden on low-income groups. Being aware of both economic market effects and social consequences is crucial when evaluating the effects of economic instruments, as this will strengthen the analysis of causality in the scope of market volume.
Part of the explanation of why price elasticities vary among product types lies in the type of product, whether they are considered necessity goods, luxury goods, or inferior goods (demand drops with higher income). However, the consumer responses (and resulting price elasticities) are also influenced by various biases or cognitive processes that limit (or enhance) the possible effects of taxes. For example, many individuals inhibit cumulative cost neglect, which results in low behavioural impact from incremental price changes, even though they may have a significant budget impact over time. Charges may also interact with other motivations, particularly for consumers, potentially resulting in “crowding-in” or “crowding-out” effects.
1.1 Economic instruments in Nordic environmental policy
The Nordic countries have a long history of implementing economic policy instruments to protect the environment. Already in the 1980s-90s, it was shown that green charges were environmentally effective. Mentionable examples include the first CO2 fees in 1990–1992, the comprehensive bottle deposit-refund systems, and the NOx fees in 1990.
Effective environmental policies are key to achieving the climate goals and the Nordic 2030 vision of becoming the world's most sustainable and integrated region. Governments use economic instruments to come closer to fulfilling the polluters-pay principle and regulate externalities on the market. Economic instruments can effectively change producer- and consumer behaviours and protect the environment through direct price changes on certain products in the market. However, evaluating the causality between environmental economic instruments and their impacts is essential to ensure efficient environmental regulation. This has been raised by the Nordic Working Group for Environment and Economy (NME) under the Nordic Council of Ministers, which has initiated this assessment of different green taxes and charges (referred to as charges only going forward) across the Nordics. This assessment focuses on two different charges in Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden, respectively, and whether the intended effect seems to have been achieved or not. The aim is to get a broader understanding of what type of regulation has been successful or not to better steer regulation going forward in favour of the green transition across the Nordics. The consortium will establish a firm picture of the causes of positive and negative (or non-significant) effects of green charges in the Nordics, informing future decisions in applying economic instruments in environmental regulation. The study has been led by Norion Consult, Bjørn Bauer, Linda Stafsing, Sofie Kjøller Jørgensen, Amalie Børglum Ploug Olsen, Laura Schou Bagh, Agnes Plesner Skårup. The collaboration has been together with Erik Gråd from Anthesis, Emilia Ståhlhammar, Theo Cox, Vera Saavalainen from Demos Helsinki and Øyvind Nystad Handberg from Menon Economics.