Hall et al. (2022) perform a comparative analysis of Sweden and Norway, which differ regarding policy mix to enhance the employability of young disabled individuals. The authors investigate the effects of train (i.e., education) and place (i.e., labour market training). Despite cross-country differences in the programmes, there are surprisingly small differences in impact. In general, the effects are positive for both place and train, but effects are substantially larger for place. There are lock-in effects in both programmes, but the lock-in effects tend to be larger in the train programme.
Looking beyond the literature identified in the systematic review, Danish research supports the positive results of labour market training (JobFirst) across age, gender, and ethnicity (Rambøll & Metrica, 2018; STAR, 2023). However, it is worth mentioning that the labour market training was combined with intensive mentoring support, frequent follow-up, and handling the challenges beyond unemployment in parallel initiatives. These results are further supported by Card et al. (2018), who conclude that work-first programmes tend to have larger short-term effects compared to programmes focusing on human capital accumulation, such as ordinary education.
In Norway, historically, on-the-job training (Arbeidspraksis på overgang til arbeid) has consistently performed poorly among almost all participants (von Simson, 2023; Oslo Economics, 2023). Based on this observation, several changes were made, including a requirement for clarification of purpose and closer follow-up of the participants along the way. This new programme is called Arbeidstrening and has been evaluated both qualitatively and quantitatively. The qualitative results show that the participants have generally taken longer to settle into the workplace, but it has worked well after a while, subsequently resulting in permanent positions. However, some employers have bad experience with the programme, which is partly caused by lack of language skills, making training and communication with the programme participants difficult. Further, some participants have physical health issues that are not compatible with the work tasks. This highlights that, to ensure a good job match, it is particularly important that the PES (in this case, NAV) are familiar with both the employer and the participant (Oslo Economics, 2023). The quantitative results demonstrate positive employment effects from Arbeidstrening, and the effect seems to be greatest among participants with low formal qualifications and no work experience, whereas it seems to have no significant effect on older participants with a lot of work experience (Oslo Economics, 2024a).
Key considerations regarding the instrument
The success of labour market training depends crucially on a good match between employer and employee
The identified literature suggests that a good match between employer and employee is crucial for the success of labour market training. For example, the Industry Packages programme is a good case. First, a central part of this scheme is that it only concerns employers with labour shortages, which creates a good starting point for a good match. Further, the programme entails a structured sequence of job training internships that provides participants with skills. In other words, the participant tries different workplaces in different sectors, which also creates a breeding ground for a good job match. Further, such an arrangement can contribute to overcoming barriers related to employers, namely the risk related to hiring employees, which we have identified previously in this project as an employment barrier that hinders vulnerable groups from entering the labour market.
Labour market training among immigrants crowds out language training, which can explain a vanishing employment effect from labour market training after three years
The literature demonstrates that the intensive labour market training among immigrants crowds out language training, which can be an explanation of why the positive employment effect disappears three years after programme participation (Arendt & Bolvig, 2023a). Further, as will be demonstrated in
section 4.3, the literature finds positive long-run effects of language training, which indicates that it is important to consider the sequence of overcoming barriers related to lack of language skills and barriers related to lack of labour market experience among immigrants. The literature seems to suggest that it is important to provide immigrants with basic language skills before providing them with labour market experience in the longer run.
4.3 Ordinary education
Description of the instrument
Typically, individuals who are seeking employment in the Nordic countries are allocated to an ALMP after consultation with a caseworker. The ALMP is comprised of a variety of different activities, including ordinary education. This, among other things, refers to upper secondary education (e.g., general or technical high school), vocationally oriented education (e.g., plumber, electrician), college degrees, as well as adult vocational training and general adult education (referred to as AMU courses in a Nordic context), and language training (targeted at immigrants). The specific educational measure is based on current qualifications, interests, etc., and determined by the caseworker and the recipient.
Note that we have included language training in this category of instruments, since language training is a special type of education targeted at immigrants.
The effectiveness of the instrument
In the systematic review, we focus on literature uncovering the causal employment effects of ordinary education. The identified literature is relatively scarce and primarily concerns refugees and young people with disabilities.
Holm et al. (2017), von Simson & Hardoy (2020), and Hall et al. (2022) investigate how ordinary education may affect the probability of disabled people going into (non-subsidised) employment. Holm et al. (2017) exploit over-time variation in the use of ALMPs (including ordinary education) among sick-listed workers in 98 job centres in Denmark to identify causal treatment effects of ordinary education. The sick-listed workers treated with ordinary education are 29 years old on average, which is around 10 years younger than the group of sick-listed workers treated with other ALMPs. Ordinary education is shown to have a positive effect on employment duration but no effect on the transition into employment. This is a result of two opposing effects: a large positive effect of having completed education and a large negative lock-in effect with low re-employment chances during programme participation. Von Simson & Hardoy (2020) confirm these findings in a Norwegian study, where they investigate how ordinary education and various courses affect the probability of obtaining work. They show that education and training programmes increase the probability of employment. Similar effects are found by Hall et al. (2022), who uncover positive employment effects of education. However, lock-in effects are observed in the short run.
The systematic review also contains literature on how language training affects the employment prospects among refugees and immigrants in the Nordic countries. Arendt et al. (2021) find significant positive and permanent effects on employment from a Danish reform (from 1999) focused on improving language training among refugees aged 18 years or older. The effect emerged after completion of language classes and was accompanied by additional schooling. This highlights the potential of a very specific form of education, namely language training, as an instrument to increase labour market participation among immigrants.
Foged & van der Werf (2023) somewhat confirm these findings in a Danish study, which uses the opening, closing, and gradual expansion of local language training centres, as well as the quasi-random assignment of the refugees to locations with varying proximity to a language training centre, as their identification strategy. The study demonstrates that this increases the participation of refugees in language training. Further, it significantly increased their participation in ordinary education, but it did not increase their labour market participation five years after the language training, which can be partially explained by lock-in effects due to increased enrolment in ordinary education. The investigated group of refugees were quite young at an average age of 30 years. Increased participation in education is also identified as a positive outcome of language training in a publication from the Danish Ministry of Immigration and Integration, whereas the impact on employment outcomes is more ambiguous (Ministry of Immigration and Integration, 2023).
The findings from the systematic review are generally supported by similar reviews and studies investigating the employment effects of ordinary education. In this literature, a general finding is that human capital policies (such as ordinary education) have negative effects in the short run (due to lock-in effects), but these policies may prove more beneficial in the longer run (von Simson, 2023; Kluve, 2016; Card et al., 2018; OECD, 2022).
Key considerations regarding the instrument
Stronger employment effect of education among individuals with physical health issues than among individuals with mental health issues
Previously in this project, we uncovered that a central combination of barriers among vulnerable individuals is lack of education and physical or mental health issues. 33 pct. of vulnerable individuals in the Nordic countries with either physical or mental health issues also lack qualifying education (Højbjerre et al., 2023b). The literature demonstrates positive effects of ordinary education on the employment prospects of individuals with health issues (Holm et al., 2017; von Simson & Hardoy, 2020). However, it seems to be crucial to distinguish between physical and mental health issues when designing policies towards this group. This is demonstrated in older Norwegian studies, where it is suggested that educational and training measures work relatively better for people with physical health issues, whereas individuals with mental health issues seem to benefit more from participating in work-oriented measures (Børing, 2002; Møller, 2005).
Larger lock-in effects during participation in ordinary education, which highlights the importance of considering the overall socio-economic impact of offering ordinary education
The identified literature demonstrates that policies aimed at increasing the human capital of the individual through ordinary education are beneficial to their employment chances in the longer run. However, one should note that participation in ordinary education (and programme participation in general) increases the likelihood of lock-in effects on the probability of transitioning to regular employment (see, e.g., Hall et al. (2022)). This is especially the case when considering ordinary education, as this type of employment instrument typically lasts for a longer period compared to, for example, labour market training.
Immigrants whose native languages are very different from Nordic languages experience larger employment effects from language training
It has been shown that there are heterogeneous treatment effects among refugees with varying language roots. Refugees speaking languages very different from Danish experienced stronger employment and earnings benefits from increased language training, which emphasises a central hypothesis in this project, namely that the traditional target groups (including immigrants) are highly heterogeneous. Such heterogeneities are important to uncover and recognise when designing employment policies (Arendt et al., 2021).
4.4 Caseworker interviews
The following section provides an overview of which tools in the education and labour market training caseworkers across the five Nordic countries use and how they perceive their effectiveness in terms of assisting unemployed individuals with more or less complex sets of barriers in finding employment. As a preliminary remark to what follows, it is worth mentioning that some of the tools that we have categorised as belonging to this instrument category are among the most commonly used across Nordic countries. In all five countries, some form of guidance in the public employment service – no matter how it is organised or who it targets – is integral to all efforts at guiding unemployed (vulnerable) citizens towards either a job, short-term training or a course, or longer-term education of some type. Some form of counselling is also very common in relation to all target groups (if the citizens involved are motivated, and the courses are not too costly), as are various types of work try-out or testing and labour market training.
As already mentioned in chapter 2, it is also important to note that almost all interviewed caseworkers stress the importance of getting to know the person that needs assistance, i.e., this specific person’s background, barriers, potentials, (lack of) motivation, and (potential) aspirations, especially when it comes to vulnerable unemployed jobseekers. Without an adequate understanding of the person sitting in front of the caseworker, providing adequate assistance becomes difficult. From the analysis of the interviews, it seems to be almost a condition, or at least a rule of thumb, that the more complex the problems confronting the citizen in terms of becoming ready for the labour market and finding a job, the better the caseworker needs to understand the citizen to be able to help her/him. This is also where the work of the caseworker in the employment services across the Nordic countries often becomes dependent on the work of others. These others can be the municipal social services department, where other caseworkers have a better understanding of the vulnerable situation of the whole family that the citizen belongs to, which is a situation that may impede efforts to make the person more prepared for the labour market. They can also be psychiatrists at a regional hospital who have not yet had the time to make a potential diagnosis (e.g., ADHD, anxiety, CPTSD) that the caseworker may suspects but which needs to be documented before the caseworker is able to design the best possible plan, given national legislation and the available resources. We return to these issues pertaining to collaboration and coordination later in the report (chapter 5, chapter 6, and especially in chapter 8).
Guidance and counselling
Guidance and counselling are used in the employment services in all the Nordic countries, and this is typically where employment assistance starts after the caseworker has spent some time familiarising him or herself with background information about the citizen (age, education, language skills, work experience, origin, type of residency permit, potentially relevant health information, criminal record, etc.). However, the amount and depth of guidance that the caseworkers are able to provide to the citizens clearly also vary with the caseload of the caseworkers. Some of the caseworkers we have interviewed in this study have a caseload of up to 200 cases, and two caseworkers in Northern Finland working with vulnerable youth said they had 120-160 cases. Others do not really work with labour market guidance in a narrow sense at all but rather at the intersection of employment services and social services, with rehabilitation of persons sick-listed because of stress, depression, or some other serious health problem, which was the case with an interviewed occupational therapist from mid-Sweden with very few clients.
Is guidance effective as a tool in itself? Most of the interviewed caseworkers use and provide guidance as part of their job, but they typically do not perceive it as an effective tool on its own in relation to most of the vulnerable groups we focus on in this project, since members of these groups often have more barriers to overcome on their way to employment than what can be overcome during one, two, or three guidance meetings in the public employment service. Still, guidance on employment options in the local (or wider) labour market and guidance on how to write a CV are integral to the effort to help unemployed persons find a job. This is especially true for individuals who may have faint knowledge of employment possibilities in the labour market and its cultural codes, such as many newly arrived immigrants, or who have never or only in a remote past drafted a CV and a job application, such as some seniors who have become unemployed after a long, uninterrupted work life. A caseworker from mid-Norway working with unemployed seniors said that some persons in this group have “an old-fashioned style when they apply for jobs”, that they do not know the (implicit) rules governing many trades today, and that they may think that “knocking on the door and having a firm handgrip is enough to get a job”. Unfortunately, this is often not the case. In relation to such groups, job search and labour market guidance are important, although some form of retraining or re-education is often also required.
Moreover, guidance in the form of supporting seniors’ belief in the chances of finding a new job is also important, because unemployed seniors, with or without vocational or other education, very often experience difficulties in finding a new job once they become unemployed. Of course, some do not if they are flexible and there is a demand for the skills they possess, e.g., a carpenter who cannot work as such any longer but who manages to find a job in a DIY centre. An Icelandic caseworker described how unemployed seniors, often with some education, who cannot find a job using their education in the specific sector where they used to work, subsequently reorient their job search and use their qualifications in a job within the tourism sector, where employment prospects are good in Iceland if a person speaks a little or some English. Still, several caseworkers from Iceland, Norway, and Finland working with unemployed seniors report what they perceive as employers negatively discriminating against senior jobseekers. One caseworker from Iceland working with seniors expressed the view that women above 45 years and men above 50–55 years experienced an age-related negative bias among employers when applying for jobs. Caseworkers from Norway generally found that national employment policies in Norway focused to an insufficient degree on assisting seniors and that too few resources were allocated to this group, e.g., for retraining and re-education, in contrast to vulnerable youth receiving much more attention.
Labour market training
The use of labour market training is relatively closely connected to upskilling and is used in all Nordic countries to some or a high extent. Iceland appears to be an exception from the Nordic normal in this field, since Icelandic caseworkers report that unpaid internship in workplaces is very uncommon, unless very short-term with a job clarification aim, while the use of wage-subsidised jobs in order to help persons on the margins of the labour market integrate into a particular workplace or trade is very common (see chapter 7 on economic incentives). In other Nordic countries, labour market training often takes place as unpaid short or medium-term internships in public or private workplaces, and it can be used for a variety of purposes, such as job clarification, as part of rehabilitation, getting to know a new trade, gaining new network or retraining, and keeping up skills that may otherwise wither away.
Finnish caseworkers working in one of the newly established Finnish one-stop-shops targeting young people say that they often meet young people with no education beyond primary school who do not know what they want to do with their life. They are weary of school, and a substantial number suffer from anxiety and have spent a long time at home – gaming or simply being passive – without contact with other people. The caseworkers report that they use labour market training in the form of internships in a public or private workplace with a job clarification aim, seeking to build on the wishes and interests of these young people. They try to help them gain an idea of a job path they might pursue, for example through an internship in a car workshop with the prospect of choosing a relevant vocational education leading to a job as a mechanic. Hence, the aim of such labour market training is often not simply a job in a short-term perspective but also a means to foster motivation among young people to enrol in some type of education that may later benefit their chances of finding and keeping a job. Such labour training might also be a means to help such young persons (re-)integrate in society through training in a workplace after periods of isolation with no contact to schools or ordinary work life. However, interviews with both Finnish and other Nordic caseworkers indicate that there is no quick fix to integrate vulnerable youth into the labour market, either through job training or ordinary education, given the vast variety and complexity of psychological and social problems that may affect many of these persons. Nonetheless, some form of job training is an often-used tool in relation to young people who need to test different types of jobs. According to the caseworkers, it can – if used with care – often help young people in job or education clarification as well as in psychological growth processes.
Often, labour market training is also used with other purposes, such as providing knowledge and skills relevant for a particular job in a particular trade. As such, it is used for unemployed seniors, immigrants, and persons with disabilities. Denmark is a country where job training as part of a job-first policy targeting newly arrived immigrants plays a prominent role, given that the Integration Act stipulates that the municipalities send a newly arrived immigrant into their first workplace internship within the first two weeks and no later than one month after arrival. Labour market training continues to play an important role as a tool in relation to integration of various individuals on the margins of the labour market. A Danish caseworker working with unemployed immigrant women from outside the EU relates how she often seeks to organise “hybrid workplace internships”, which are hybrid in the sense that the citizen starts out in an unpaid 37-hour internship. At first, the citizen receives public transfer income, then gradually starts to receive a salary from the employer for work hours where ordinary work tasks have been performed. Ordinary salary for ordinary hours is currently a much-pursued aim and much-used tool in Danish employment policy with a purpose to further integration of persons on the labour market. It builds on the idea that an ordinary salary (even if only for a limited number of hours) provides a strong economic incentive to work and also has psychological effects in terms of strengthening self-respect among persons who may lack this due to having been outside work life for a long time.
Labour market training, primarily as unpaid internships in public or private workplaces, is often used in all the Nordic countries (with the exception of Iceland) as part of the efforts to help persons on the margins of the labour market find a job. However, according to many of the interviewed caseworkers from different parts of the Nordic countries, it is rarely an efficient tool when used on its own. More often, it is used and perceived as efficient if it is part of a larger, well-devised plan or instrument package (like the industry packages described earlier in this chapter), where the right combination of guidance, coaching, upskilling, and job training helps a person belonging to one of the vulnerable groups overcome his or her barriers to employment and find a job. Clearly, some of the tools described in later chapters – like rehabilitation, collaboration with other municipal services, or public health care – are also often required in connection with job training in order for it to be efficient in overcoming complex barriers.
Ordinary education
There are many paths to Rome. Ordinary education is, of course, one of the primary paths to finding a job, also among persons on the margins of the labour market and for persons who may end up permanently outside the labour market. A Norwegian youth counsellor we interviewed said that “if there is a little motivation for education, I will always try to pursue that path”. However, this path can unfold in many ways, and another Norwegian caseworker, interestingly, stressed that education in a school is not for everyone and that other ways may lead to a certificate of apprenticeship (fagbrev/svennebrev). One is by primarily being an apprentice and receiving training in a particular workplace before a final exam.
A Danish caseworker relates that providing education for persons belonging to vulnerable groups, who may be very weary of schools, sometimes depends on flexibility and creativity in the job centre, the educational system, and among the employers (and especially on to what extent the latter are short of workers):