The Nordic Council of Ministers has agreed on a cooperation programme with the aim of making welfare accessible to everyone in sustainable and inclusive societies (Nordiska Ministerrådet, 2024). Medical and nursing care for the elderly and people with certain disabilities are central to Nordic welfare, and it will be particularly important for these services to function well in the case of a heightened state of alert or war. As a result of Russia’s war in Ukraine, which began in 2014 and continued with a full-scale invasion in 2022, the security situation has changed and the Swedish government has decided to resume total defence planning. This means, among other things, that authorities that perform socially important tasks need to plan for their operations to function in the event of heightened alert or war, i.e. that operations must be maintained and able to withstand stress. In Sweden, the National Board of Health and Welfare is the authority responsible for health, healthcare and other care, and in recent years has been given several expanded assignments related to crisis preparedness in medical and nursing care (Government Decisions No. S2024/01060 and S2024/01055). Preparedness includes planning to ensure availability of personnel through total defence duty and wartime postings, a system that was introduced after the Second World War. At that time, the main focus was on wartime postings for men to perform duties in the Armed Forces in the event of war, while they had other jobs in peacetime. With the resumption of total defence planning, many authorities besides the Armed Forces have now begun to plan for how their operations will function in the event of a heightened state of alert or war, including through the wartime postings for personnel. However, major and radical changes have taken place in Nordic societies since the advent of total defence planning in the 1950s, not least that both women and men are now almost equal contributors to the workforce. In this text, we will discuss issues related to the need for and planning of medical care and nursing in the case of a heightened state of alert or war in today’s Nordic societies. We will start from the Swedish context, which we know best, but the issues we will discuss are also highly relevant in the other Nordic countries.
A recent report on staffing in civil defence (SOU 2025:6) addresses changes in the labour market, highlighting privatisation and the emergence of subcontractors in medical and nursing care, healthcare and other care as new challenges for total defence planning. However, the implications of total defence planning for a modern society, with a workforce consisting of both women and men, and thus mothers and fathers, are hardly problematised or discussed. In general we have in the literature hardly found any mentioning of the consequences of the fact that women and men today are both engaged in paid work and parenting. For society to be resilient and resistant in a crisis, we believe that aspects of gender, in intersection with other categories such as family situation, age, citizenship and rural and urban residence, must be taken into account. How effectively medical and nursing care for citizens will function in a society in a state of crisis or heightened state of alert needs to be viewed from at least three perspectives:
Those in need of healthcare and other care
Employers who are responsible for ensuring the provision of healthcare and other care
Care providers, i.e. staff of various kinds and from different professional groups
For all three perspectives, gender, in intersection with other categories, is central, and we will discuss the conditions for carrying out these activities in the event of a heightened state of alert or war. One example is that Early Childhood Education and Care (ECEC) provision for those who perform socially important activities should be prioritised (SOU 2025:6, Regulation 1991:1195). However, if extended working hours and limited holiday leave become relevant, there will be a need to define the workers affected and, among other things, what this means for the increased need for childcare (perhaps primarily with regard to ECEC). None of the above perspectives can neglect the individuals involved and what can reasonably be expected of them. Our discussion is by no means exhaustive but can be seen as an argument that realistic planning of how work is to be carried out during a heightened state of alert or war must take into account who is expected to perform various tasks, and here gender is a highly relevant factor.
During the Second World War, women replaced conscripted men in the labour market to some extent, but during the first half of the 1950s, strong economic growth meant that many families could live on one salary (Nermo, 2000). There was also resistance, especially to married women to be engaged in paid work, and access to childcare was very limited. To the extent that married women did paid work, their income was primarily seen as a supplement to that of their husband, with men’s higher wages justified by their role as breadwinners. Under these circumstances, the system of wartime postings required women to take primary responsibility for the home and children when men were called up for training exercises and in the case of war. This stands in sharp contrast to today’s society, where expectations of labour force participation are gender-neutral and social institutions such as ECEC and schools make this possible. The labour market participation for women aged 15-74 in Sweden in April 2025 was 67.1 per cent and for men 70.9 per cent. Among women engaged in the labour market, 15.8 per cent were temporary employed. Among men, the same figure was 13.2 per cent (SCB, 2025). Female employees are the dominant group in municipal and regional medical and nursing care for elderly, and many of them also bear primary responsibility for the home and family when the working day is over. Authorities’ current planning for the continued functioning of operations in the event of social crises and extraordinary circumstances such as war, will have a significant impact on many women employed in the public sector. Some of them may be assigned to wartime postings within the framework of their employment, while the vast majority are expected to serve at their regular workplace in accordance with their general national service. It is therefore very much a gender and equality issue how these employees will be able to fulfil their general duty of service and whether this duty conflicts with expectations of care in the private sphere.
First, we need to briefly go through some concepts that are important for this essay, the first of which is total defence duty. All Swedish citizens and permanent residents of Sweden between the ages of 16 and 70 are subject to total defence duty, which includes:
military defence service within the Swedish Armed Forces,
civil defence service in rescue services and similar activities, and
general national service.
Military defence service means that you have completed basic training in the Swedish Armed Forces and, in most cases, have a wartime posting (see below) for service during heightened state of alert or war. Civil defence service is the civilian equivalent of military defence service (Myndigheten för samhällsskydd och beredskap, 2025). These duties affect certain sections of the population, while general national service can include almost everyone of working age. During heightened states of alert, the government can prescribe general national service to ensure that socially important activities continue to function. General national service can therefore apply to all or parts of the country and to certain activities. Those employed in the public sector are generally expected to continue their regular work but may also be required to serve elsewhere. This is decided by the employer (for government employees) or by the Swedish Public Employment Service (for others). During heightened state of alert, general national service means, among other things, that employees do not have the right to terminate their employment.
Wartime postings are an important tool for systematically planning who will serve where in the case of total defence. Wartime posting means that a decision is made on where an individual will serve during a heightened state of alert or war. There are two types of wartime postings, the first of which is service under the act on total defence duty (1994:1809) and includes military and civil defence services. The second type of wartime posting involves employer planning. Employers who are responsible for carrying out socially important activities apply to the Swedish Defence Conscription and Assessment Agency to have their staff assigned to wartime postings in the event of a heightened state of alert. This means that the employer will call on certain employees in the event of a heightened state of alert or war. This is to maintain operations and ensure that employees are not called upon for other socially important activities. An employee can therefore be assigned to the Swedish Armed Forces within the framework of military defence service, to the emergency services within the framework of civil defence service or to their regular employer. Recently, the number of wartime postings in the country has increased. Between 2017 and 2020, the number of municipalities that checked whether people were available for wartime postings, or applied for wartime postings for employees via the Swedish Defence Conscription and Assessment Agency, increased from 19 to 120. In 2022, 15 regions and 105 municipalities had placed employees in wartime postings, and these figures increased to 19 and 163 respectively between 2022 and 2024 (Plikt- och prövningsverket, 2021; 2025). The number of municipalities and regions assigning personnel to wartime postings is thus increasing, but they are doing so in different ways. For example, Region Skåne has assigned all permanent staff to wartime postings, while Region Stockholm has assigned only those in key positions (Granestrand, 2023).
Medical care provided by regional authorities and healthcare and nursing care provided by municipalities are socially important activities that are required to meet society’s basic needs (Myndigheten för samhällsskydd och beredskap, MSB, 2023). Planning to ensure that these activities continue to function does not currently take into account circumstances or opportunities related to gender, family status, individual care commitments or other circumstances. But how do care needs change in a crisis situation? And what means are available to those responsible to ensure that these needs are met? And how will it be possible to fulfil the general national service for all of us, who are, of course, more than just ‘general individuals’?
We will begin by describing how needs for medical care and nursing care can change in a crisis situation.
Changed needs for medical care and nursing care during a heightened state of alert
War radically changes the way society functions. It has major consequences for both public and private activities and, of course, for all individuals. A key factor in a crisis or war situation is that the need for healthcare and other care is likely to increase (see, for example, SOU 2025:6). The crisis situation itself can lead to people being injured and needing both emergency and long-term care. Elderly care as well as other care is currently provided either at home in the form of home help services or in special housing. However, a large proportion of care is also provided by family members, who in a crisis situation may be forced to relocate or work longer hours. Relatives have taken on an increasingly important role in caring for elderly family members (Ulmanen & Szebehely, 2015), and there is a strong expectation by the public providers that that relatives carry out at least some of the care and contact needed. If relatives will not assist with some care, there is a risk that the elderly and others in need of care will suffer, or that home help service providers will become overburdened. This is already a trend in the Nordic countries where for instance the differences in access to public care between urban and rural areas are increasing (Rostgaard et al., 2022; Sjögren & Parding, 2024). In many municipalities in rural and sparsely populated areas, the older part of the population is overrepresented, and long distances can become even more problematic in situations where society is exposed to external stresses. This is likely true in all Nordic countries.
Furthermore, experiences from for instance Ukraine show that crises often lead to internal displacement within a country. Internally displaced individuals place a strain on local communities, and existing social services must continue to function even in situations of war and crisis. Vulnerable groups become even more vulnerable, such as children (Armitage, 2022), the elderly and individuals with disabilities (see, for example, Patarwy et al., 2023; Regev & Vasylchenko, 2025; Rosenthal et al., 2022) as well as those who are economically marginalised.
Membership of NATO may also have consequences for all Nordic countries, even if war does not take place in their territory. For example, NATO countries may need to assist with patient evacuation or a rapid influx of patients in the event of mass casualty incidents (see for example Socialstyrelsen, 2025).